Through our research and conversations with thought leaders on acute care at home, we have uncovered the following three insights:
1. The aging population will contribute to the growth of acute care at home.
As the number of older adults increases, providers and payers are interested in care models that can keep them in the lowest cost setting possible. Well-monitored, at-home treatment can be safer, cheaper, and more effective than traditional hospital care—especially for older adults who are susceptible to infections or other complications from inpatient hospital care. The ongoing demographic shift is also prompting providers to meet older adults’ desire to age in place and better manage chronic disease. Providers who have set up programs during the pandemic to meet these needs, and who have experienced growing acceptance, aren’t likely to backtrack when the pandemic ends.
2. Despite the current wave of interest, acute care at home will serve a small portion of the eligible population.
There is a lot of interest and investment in acute care at home. However, large-scale adoption of this model will likely be hindered by the inherent operational challenges of providing acute-level care in the home. To create a sustainable program, providers will need to generate sufficient volumes while maintaining the staff expertise and infrastructure needed to deliver all the services patients need.
Advisory Board has estimated that 30 percent of current hospital inpatient volumes could theoretically shift to the home, however only five percent of inpatient volume is currently performed in the home even in the most advanced programs. An external analysis by Milliman also suggests that five percent of Medicare admissions are likely to be able to move to the home. Factors limiting the shift in volume includes that patients:
- Must live within a defined radius of the hospital
- Have a home that is suitable for acute care at home
- Want to enroll in this type of program
- Are eligible based on reimbursement status
- Do not have complicating comorbidities or other clinical factors that would make the home unsafe
Overall, the shift of inpatient volumes to an acute care at home program will likely be slow and concentrated in niche services.
3. The acute care at home model is best suited for specific use cases.
For providers operating under fee-for-service (FFS), the main use case for acute care at home is to preserve inpatient capacity. Providers can identify candidates for an acute care at home program when they’re in the ED or inpatient hospital bed. There is a potential to improve case mix index and use of hospital inpatient beds for more complex acute care. The CMS waiver currently makes this financially and logistically possible. Pre-pandemic, providers often relied on a bundled payment approach, where they would contract with health plans in risk-based arrangements for 30-to-60-day episodes of care.
For providers in value-based contracts, acute care at home can be an effective way to help lower costs of care while improving patient and caregiver engagement and satisfaction. Cost reduction can come from eliminating facility expenses and reducing the length of hospitalizations and re-admissions.
Examples for how to generate positive ROI from acute care at home programs
- Expand care team capabilities at the patient's home via telehealth access to offsite specialists
- Improve patient and caregiver engagement in self-care
- Monitor vital signs and recovery for longer time periods compared to inpatient monitoring
- Improve return on assets by centralizing high-acuity patient care
- Expand inpatient “surge capacity” without the same fixed cost burden of hospitals
- Create sustainable reimbursement pathways for remote monitoring services and patients requiring “hospital observation”
- Lower staffing costs through care team redesign and productivity enhancements (especially for high-salaried staff)